Lange is editor-in-chief of newyorkjets.com. He covered the Jets for 13 years for The Record of Hackensack, N.J.
File Under: New England, strength of schedule, 2008 opponents, schedule Patriots Jets
02/14 — The NFL's master schedule won't be revealed, except for dribs and drabs and rumors, until April, but all teams have known their 2008 opponents for a month and a half. And if Jets fans haven't taken a look at the coming season's strength of schedule, you might want to send out an SOS.
The New England Patriots have the league's "easiest" schedule.
Now that I've got your blood boiling, let me bring it back down to a simmer. True, the near-perfect Patriots' 16 upcoming opponents have a combined 2007 winning percentage of .387 (99-157), the lowest schedule strength among the 32 teams. The next most favorable schedule belongs to the San Diego Chargers — who lost to the Patriots in the AFC Championship Game — at .422.
(The two toughest schedules by far, if you're curious, belong to Pittsburgh at .598 and Indianapolis at .594.)
So how is it that the team that flirted with immortality for 18/19ths of its season gets such a break one year later? Well, it's a combination of the Patriots not having to play themselves and so not being stuck with a 16-0 opponent's record on their log and of the AFC East's schedule rotation with two other low-SOS divisions, the AFC West and the NFC West.
One thing to keep in mind is that such rotational hijinks are going to happen from time to time, and rather than talking about how unjustly easy the Patriots' schedule is compared to, say, the Steelers', it's more important to look at the other teams within a division.
Indeed, the Jets have the eighth "softest" schedule at .457, the Dolphins are tied for 10th at .465 and the Bills check in at .449, tied for fifth. And all three New England rivals would have even nicer prospective skeds if not for having to play the Patriots twice each.
The other point to make is the relative meaning of the word "soft." Teams get tougher or less formidable all off-season long after etching their previous season's results in granite. Strength of schedule may be an indicator of how a team will fare the next year, but it is not a strong one.
For example, it's true that the Jets appeared to benefit in 2006 with a .465 SOS based on their opponents' combined '05 record, and that this past season was correctly viewed as potentially (and in fact turned out to be) more difficult when considering the opponents' combined '06 SOS of .516.
But the Patriots were undeterred in '07 by the NFL's third-toughest schedule while St. Louis (3-13) and Atlanta (4-12) weren't helped by schedules that were tied for fourth-"softest" in the league.
So it's not a good feeling knowing the team you annually need to pass to get your best shot at the playoffs has the least-imposing schedule around. But the Green & White's set of opponents is comparable — right on down to the four West Coast trips that both the Jets and Patriots will have to make.
Fans Respond
Here's your chance to tell Randy what you think! Add a Comment | Hide All Show All (23)Patriots get the EASIEST schedule??? Said:
Thu, February 14, 2008 - 2:14pm EDT"This is so typical of the NFL and the Patriots. The Patriots always seem to get all the brakes. This is absolutely ridiculous that the Patriots get the EASIEST schedule. Along with the Patriots CHEATING and VIDEO taping other teams, and now they get the EASIEST schedule. If this doesn't prove the NFL gives the Patriots SPECIAL treatment, I don't know what will."
kenny Said:
Thu, February 14, 2008 - 4:10pm EDT"It works both ways, there is never anything as an easy schedule when it comes to the nfl. Parity is good and you can never go by what a team did the previous season due to salary caps and injuries."
Jason Said:
Thu, February 14, 2008 - 4:58pm EDT"Dude - to clarify a bit, outside of 2 games, the Jets play the same teams the Pats do and these games were decided years ago. The only reason the Pat are listed as "easiest" is because they play the 4-12 Jets twice (8-24) while the Jets play the 16-0 Pats twice (32-0). But we'll just how "easy" the games are against the Green & White next year! J! E! T! S! JETS! JETS! JETS!"
endzone kenny Said:
Thu, February 14, 2008 - 5:52pm EDT"who cares about the schedule if we dont start doing anything about the coaching staff and the team. maybe they need a fans prospective instead of themselves because their doing a terrible job at it, and it meaning: EVERYTHING. put the giants super bowl parade pics in the locker room to start with instead of telling stories. give a 25 yr fan like me15 min. with the team and ill show you motivation"
Drew Said:
Thu, February 14, 2008 - 6:21pm EDT"Trying to figure out the schedule is always a funny. You never know who is going to be playing well from year to year. Alot of fans had the Giants going 7-9 and the Packers 5-11 and they played in the NFC Championship game. So who knows.... We need to really have a good offseason to compete next year. LG,RT, OLB or DE, WR in the draft/FA's and lets get back to the playoffs"
Andrew in Tucson Said:
Thu, February 14, 2008 - 9:24pm EDT"Randy great post bro! The JETS will just need to step it up this year. Make some bold yet wise FA pick ups on both offense & defense. Draft well and we will be kickin butt next year! A GOOD DEFENSE makes up for a so so offense. TanGini please make some moves to make the JETS even better this year. WE NEED to compete and beat the pats. AFC East Champs 08 J-E-T-S! JETS! JETS! JETS!"
Gary Said:
Fri, February 15, 2008 - 8:08am EDT"Lots of miles. Has any team made the playoffs going to the west coast FOUR times or east coast for a west coast team??"
Randy Lange Said:
"Gary, the Giants made the 2005 playoffs after going 2-2 in four trips to the West Coast."
Frank Said:
Fri, February 15, 2008 - 8:35am EDT"Way to go Tangini...are you guys on vacation? We just had a great chance to sign Wahle which would have meet our number one need and you blew it. This is why this organization is a perenial loser they can't make a decision and look who signed him Seattle and who was making a major play Patriots. This is the kind of move winning organizations don't screw up. Gee lets hope we find a re-tread in May. "
Frank Said:
Fri, February 15, 2008 - 8:56am EDT"I do not want to hear one person say we need to get Zach Thomas. Let him go to the Pats."
Matt Said:
Fri, February 15, 2008 - 2:23pm EDT"I got to agree with frank here, every year the most disapointing aspect of the Jets is their offseason actions, it is a joke. If we want to start winning how about actually getting involved in the free agency, I mean the Thomas Jones pick up last season though big is one of the only few or critical pick ups we have made in past seasons. If we want to improve we must make some aquisitions this year"
Dave Said:
Fri, February 15, 2008 - 4:35pm EDT"Make a strong push for Samuel and Haynesworth (if he isn't tagged). Trade Robertson for picks. Find some other O-line help which we already lost out on some. D-Brick needs to show up this year."
Tanner Said:
Fri, February 15, 2008 - 5:54pm EDT"Hey Zach Thomas is out there, the falcons just let go of crumpler a leftwich those could be some key players. Have leftwich and pennington battle for the strting job. "
Can MANGINI & GM Evaluate TALENT??? Said:
Fri, February 15, 2008 - 5:54pm EDT"You people mention FREE agency and offseason pick ups for the JTES. I keep telling you guys, a Organization or Sport Franchise, BEFORE coaching..has to display the ability to EVALUATE TALENT properly! TEAMS or companies that CONTINUALLY do the BEST can IDENTIFY and EVALUTE good TALENT on a consistent basis! The GAINTS were VERY good with Evaluting in 2007. Can MANGINI & GM do it? Tell Mangini !"
John Said:
Fri, February 15, 2008 - 9:42pm EDT"as a seaon ticket holder for the past 19yrs I AM SICK AND TIRED OF THE LOSING AND THE ATTIUDE OF THE PLAYERS . TO THEM ITS A PAYCHECK BUT WHAT ABOUT PLAYING THE GAME FOR THE LOVE OF IT AND FOR THE PRIDE . It starts with the front office and scouting I feel that is where the faluire lies COME ON TANGINIE WAKE UP "
ret2ski Said:
Sat, February 16, 2008 - 9:20am EDT"Don't be too concerned with not getting Wahle guys. He specifically wanted to go to Seattle to be reunited with Holmgren so we never had a shot at him anyhow. In addition his performance over the last 2 years has slipped, and at his age likely will continue to slip; and he has had chronic shoulder problems. Real free agency will start when the UFA's hit the market on March 3."
Drew Said:
Sat, February 16, 2008 - 11:34am EDT"Even though I happen to agree with Frank with the Wahle signing I once again would wait before we call our franchise losers....again. The guy did not want to go to a East coast team and mentioned playing for Holmgren. Lets let the real FA period & draft begin before firing off crazy posts....Just to caution everyone, we will not sign Faneca so lets not kill Tangini when that does not happen."
KNAB Said:
Sun, February 17, 2008 - 2:09am EDT"I totally agree with John. This team had better start putting some effort out. Mangini better start showing favoritism towards players who perform instead of players who keep their mouth shut and subscribe to "business as usual." I really don't care about much more than complete effort. The whole personna of this team has to change. I say we need to start recruiting character for starters."
Dunnie Said:
Sun, February 17, 2008 - 6:43pm EDT"You guys can't seriously be complaining already .. lol. Let March 3rd and the week that follows come. If we fail to address some needs . then start complaining. I for one would not mind Samuels or that corner from the Raiders. My guess is that next year will be rebuilding time because we need a QB and guess what .... we are not drafting one this year =) . 8-8 in 2009. =/ "
Giovanni Leone Said:
Mon, February 18, 2008 - 9:10am EDT"I DON'T KNO WHY EVERYONE IS GETING ON MANGINI,HE WAS A GREAT COACH IN 06,AND NOW HE STINKS,GUYS THIS IS GOING TO BE IS 3 YEAR IN COACHING,SO GIVE HIM A CHANCE TO SEE WHAT HE DOES THIS YEAR BEFORE WHE JUDGE HIM,HIS PEDIGRE COMES FROM PARCELL AND BELLICHECK,AND THATS NOT A BAD PEDIGRE."
Row Said:
Mon, February 18, 2008 - 12:14pm EDT"If we get Leftwich, I will puke. Once again I will remind EVERYONE ON THE FORUM, our DEFENSE didn't lose one game last year. OUR OFFENSE LOST 12 GAMES, take out a PR or a KR & we would have lost 16 games! We barely outscored the DOLPHINS. The front office NEEDS to wake up. Come on fans remember throwing 3 fades to settle for a fieldgoal in the redzone. Remember not running on 2nd & 3rd & 1? "
Danny Said:
Mon, February 18, 2008 - 5:25pm EDT"First lets start off by saying it was a horrible mistake letting pete kendal go. the front office better wake up and smell the roses not every good football player is going to fit all there standards. Randy Moss was good enough for Belicheck and we all see how that worked out. They cant be afraid to bring in some of these really good free agents, we have the money spend it.Wake up guys "
Reply to Giovanni Said:
Tue, February 19, 2008 - 2:02pm EDT"Hey Giovanni Leone. You said why is everybody getting on MANGINI because he was great in 06 and comes from Belichick. Well Giovanni Leone, did you say that for HERM EDWARDS when Herm took the JETS to 3 playoffs in 5 yrs? Herm had a BETTER playoff record than Parcells. Is there a DOUBLE standard for Mangini and Herm Edwards? What is the Obvious (Visual) difference when you look at Herm & Mangini"
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Ira Said:
Thu, February 14, 2008 - 1:24pm EDT"Randy, I know what your saying about how strength of schedule looks now but one doesn't know if you get a surprise team or 2 and then that % goes up.Randy try to work some magic and get one of the 2 West Coast trips to be back to back so it becomes a nice week out on the West Coast. It was that way back in the old AFL. Nice SF to SD trip. GO JETS!!!!!!!"
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