Lange is editor-in-chief of newyorkjets.com. He covered the Jets for 13 years for The Record of Hackensack, N.J.
File Under: Bart Oates, 1970 Bengals, Bob Trumpy, 1-5 Cincinnati
10/19 — Bart Oates, the longtime Giants center and now a lawyer and real estate adviser for the Jets, didn't invent the phrase, but he's the first athlete I remember using it, back when I first covered that other team in the mid-Eighties.
"You can't eat the elephant all at once."
Of course, it's just another way to say what Jets head coach Eric Mangini says every time someone asks him about the prognosis for the rest of this season, or as the playoffs became a more realistic goal each week in the second half of last season:
"Our only focus is the next practice, the next day, the next game."
And for these Jets, that's the only way to be. As several said along the same lines after stripping off their soaked gear from the heavy storm that hit them at the end of today's practice, "That's the only way for us to think. We're not 5-1. We're 1-5. We just need a win."
It's no news flash to say that the prospects historically for such teams are not good. Since the 1970 merger, 134 NFL teams have started their seasons with one win and five losses. Those teams' combined final records came out to a winning percentage of .301.
Want to consider only the teams since the advent of 16-game schedules in 1978? Those 102 teams that started 1-5 finished with a combined winning percentage of .311.
A 5-11 season is good for a .313 percentage.
Most 1-5 starters don't rise above that funk, but some do. You may already have heard or remember the 1970 Bengals (coincidentally, their relatives 37 years later take on the Jets at Paul Brown Stadium on Sunday) being the only team since the merger to have started 1-5 and made the playoffs.
In fact, those Bengals of TE Bob Trumpy, QB Virgil Carter, MLB Bill Bergey and CB Lemar Parrish opened 1-6 before winning their final seven games to come in at 8-6. Needless to say, it helped that the very first AFC Central race was not very dynamic. The Bengals at the midway point trailed first-place Cleveland by only three games, and their hot streak carried them into the postseason by a game over the 7-7 Browns.
Such a scenario seems highly unlikely in the Patriots-dominated AFC East this year. But other teams have made comebacks from such starts that were rewarding and inspirational and at least put them back in past playoff conversations. Three teams besides those Bengals achieved winning seasons, and nine others made it back to .500 — including the 1974 and 1999 Jets. Here is a list of those 1-5 starters who finished above break-even:
| Season | Team | Start | Finish | Standing |
| 1970 | Cincinnati | 1-6 | 8-6 | 1st, AFC Central |
| 1983 | St. Louis | 1-5 | 8-7-1 | 3rd, NFC East |
| 1988 | Indianapolis | 1-5 | 9-7 | 2nd, AFC East |
| 2004 | Buffalo | 1-5 | 9-7 | 3rd, AFC East |
Can the 2007 Jets move into this elite company, or make even greater history? Well, we can debate that all we want (and many of you are doing just that with your pointed comments and suggestions to the Radar). But for these Jets, they know their football menu for the coming weeks will be filled with heaping helpings of pachyderm plank steak, mastodon tartare and, in honor of this weekend's visit to the Queen City, Cincinnati Five-Ways Woolly Mammoth Chili. Because the only way to eat an elephant is one plate at a time.
Fans Respond
Here's your chance to tell Randy what you think! Add a Comment | Hide All Show All (12)Row Said:
Fri, October 19, 2007 - 6:20pm ET"I can totally respect Eric's positive outlook. I also do believe change is in order, whether he's explaining to his fans or the media are irrelevant. Do what works, his philosophy isn't working right now. Pride, Gut instinct n such do not play a factor in a multi million dollar franchise he is calling the shots for. I want a win. Just do the job & joke with the media later. Stats are meaningless!"
Niall Mac Lochlainn Said:
Fri, October 19, 2007 - 6:42pm ET"Quincy Carter? Now there's a blast from the past. I seem to remember another long TD throw against the Browns in Cleveland? Whatever happened to him-left under a cloud or something?"
Dave h Said:
Fri, October 19, 2007 - 8:57pm ET"sorry to say the glass is, half empty. no matter how you slice the beast, its more still more than they can chew. I know achieving is difficult, and criticism is easy, and being and being an armchair QB armed with a tv remote and instant replay not to mention the best seat in the house, just how easy it is, to be critical. Im still a fan though, just a frustrated one."
Dunnie Said:
Fri, October 19, 2007 - 10:15pm ET"I think we should give Eric the year to really make some progress in solidifying what this teams identity is going to be. The guy is a really smart guy ... he knows that ultimately progress is measured in winning seasons ... he must be laying the foundations for what he believes will be a sure winner. 28th ranked defense though, Sutton needs to improve dramatically. "
Darrell Said:
Sat, October 20, 2007 - 9:40am ET"Quincy Carter just recently got busted for drugs again. "
Drew Said:
Sat, October 20, 2007 - 10:57am ET"I think the Jets might have seen a set back coming this year. The way they attacked the draft, then dealing Kendall and give Moore a new deal, now sticking with Chad. Tangini is trying to get the players they want to play their system. They will let Chad try and fight his way out and then let Kellen get 6 games or so. I do not think they thought we would be 1-5 though. "
Wayne Said:
Sat, October 20, 2007 - 11:03am ET"Randy, most of us writing in are so frustrated. I question the coaches quite a bit. A lot of bad calls on offense in critical situations, using the wrong defensive schemes doesn't exactly give your team the best chance to win. Brad Smith, Leon Washington, D Barnes have been under utiliized and wheres the play action on offnese and blitzes on defense?Seems like different coaching from last year."
Jeremy Said:
Sat, October 20, 2007 - 11:48am ET"Music isn't going to turn this season around. The JETS are giving up way too many points on D and not scoring enough on O, period! They have given up the 6th most points in the league averaging close to 26 pts allowed and only scoring 17.5 per game. I'm not a math genius, but that's not going to cut! HOPE WE HAVE A GOOD DRAFT!"
ken Said:
Sat, October 20, 2007 - 2:35pm ET"Let Chad go, let's gear up for next year with Kellen. We all no that it's suicide to think of starting with Chad next year, so let' get Kellen warmed up starting right now. If Mangini does not have what it takes to pull the trigger, get rid of him too."
Andrew in Tucson Said:
Sat, October 20, 2007 - 4:07pm ET"If we would just bench chad that would change everthing. Kellen looked good against the ravens. His first pick was because coles got tripped and was not in position the second pick went through the hands of non factor #81. So 2 picks not even his fault. You can't say that about any of chad's 6 picks this year. chad's passes gives the defense that extra second to pick it off or break it up! BENCH!"
pp Said:
Sun, October 21, 2007 - 3:20am ET"the Jet "D" Stinks period!!!! Thats the problem not Chad."
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Ira Said:
Fri, October 19, 2007 - 2:56pm ET"Randy, Eric is so right. You can only think about 1 game at a time. Who knows how this will all turn out. Your chart mentions the 04 Bills doing it. I think it all started when they beat the Jets 22-17 in Buffalo. Thats the game that Chad hurt his shoulder the 1st time. Then Q.Carter came in and hit Moss for a long TD to make that game close."
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