Lange is editor-in-chief of newyorkjets.com. He covered the Jets for 13 years for The Record of Hackensack, N.J.
File Under: Tom Brady, Richard Seymour, Adalius Thomas, New England Patriots, Vince Wilfork, red zone defense, Tedy Bruschi, third-down defense
07/14 — This is the latest in a series of nine Radar entries over the next five weeks detailing trends in the AFC East, downward tendencies each division team wants to correct for the coming season and upward strides that each team wants to continue into 2009:
The New England Patriots have done so many things well over the years. They won three Super Bowls in four seasons and nearly won No. 4 two years ago. With Tom Brady back in the saddle, they are favored by a few experts out there to win another NFL championship.
And last season, with Matt Cassel and without Tom Brady, they became one of the few 11-5 teams in NFL history not to reach the playoffs.
But there were a few things the Pats struggled in last season on defense, meaning, of course, these are the same few things they’ve been working hard at all off-season to turn into positives, especially when they run into the Jets in Weeks 2 and 11 in the coming season.
One is third-down defense. New England allowed opposing offenses conversions on 91 of 205 third-down opportunities, a 44.4 percent success rate that was No. 26 in the NFL rankings.
What’s more, it was the Patriots’ second-worst third-down defense since the 1970 merger. The only team that stopped opponents less frequently on crunch downs was the 1972 team that allowed an even 50 percent conversion rate.
Here are the Patriots’ four lowest defensive third-down rates in the past 40 seasons:
| Season | Conv-Opps | Pct. | Record |
| 1972 | 96-192 | 50.0 | 3-11 |
| 2008 | 91-205 | 44.4 | 11-5 |
| 1990 | 84-192 | 43.8 | 1-15 |
| 1978 | 96-220 | 43.6 | 11-5 |
The other area, which can often go hand-in-hand with third-down troubles, is red zone defense. And this was another Achilles’ heel for the Pats in ’08 — their opponents’ 66.7 percent touchdown rate represented the No. 31 RZ defense in the league, ahead of only Detroit.
In fact, let’s not go back to the merger but merely to 2000. In the past nine seasons, that rate was the sixth-lowest in the league. Here are the NFL’s bottom six in red zone defense since 2000:
| Season | Team | TDs-Opps | Pct. | Record |
| 2004 | Giants | 36-50 | 72.0 | 6-10 |
| 2004 | Dallas | 32-45 | 71.1 | 6-10 |
| 2002 | Buffalo | 35-50 | 70.0 | 8-8 |
| 2003 | Detroit | 30-43 | 69.7 | 5-11 |
| 2008 | Detroit | 43-64 | 67.2 | 0-16 |
| 2008 | New England | 30-45 | 66.7 | 11-5 |
In the Jets’ last meeting with the Patriots, at Gillette Field last season, they did fairly well in these two categories, converting 56.3 percent of their third downs (9-for-16) and 60 percent of their red zone opportunities (3-for-5) in their 34-31 overtime road triumph. All the more reason to be ready for Richard Seymour, Tedy Bruschi, Vince Wilfork, Adalius Thomas and their mates, including new LCB Shawn Springs, when the teams meet again, in the Jets’ home opener on Sept. 20.
Fans Respond
Here's your chance to tell Randy what you think! Add a Comment | Hide All Show All (15)Violeta Said:
Tue, July 14, 2009 - 2:58pm ET"The Pats defensive players are getting too old and they do not have the speed they should have against good offenses."
supercooljetfan Said:
Tue, July 14, 2009 - 5:18pm ET"im know im a little late but i still cant help but think that calvin pace suspension can really hurt us "
wayne Said:
Tue, July 14, 2009 - 8:50pm ET"Inspite of all the their deficiencies on defense, a QB that hasn't started since HS, they won 11 games. The key is they still have BB and #12.No matter how much I hate BB, I wish he'd never left.And I blame the Tuna for him not staying and for Peyton not coming.You gotta beat a champion, you can't hope he's old.Pat aren't going away. Jets will have to go get em, they ain't coming back."
mrbill Said:
Wed, July 15, 2009 - 4:24am ET"JET fans are like the the energizer bunny; they keep waiting for the PATS to fall apart---they keep waiting and waiting and waiting and waiting"
Pranit Said:
Wed, July 15, 2009 - 7:11am ET"Ira, we jet fans so want to beat NE...but its BB that outsmarts the jets even with the slow defense or a backup QB..i know we barely beat them last yr but that was without Brady and their slow defense., If we had a smarter HC, we should have destroyed them (with Brett Favre). "
Anonymous Said:
Wed, July 15, 2009 - 7:43am ET"The Pats D getting old is a media thing. Bruschi is old (I think 35), Springs (33) and Adalius Thomas (30). Everyone else for the starters are 29 & under. The D isn't the problem, Stopping that O is the problem."
Row Said:
Wed, July 15, 2009 - 9:58am ET"Butler is a heck of a player, the Pats will be ready. I don't see Moss putting up MVP numbers, but they will be solid. The key to us beating them is really just running the ball. Their slight weakness is stopping the run, and at safety. We have to remember they signed Fred Taylor too. I am not worried about covering their WR's, just the TE. We need Leonhard to be solid early to get a good start. "
Frankie Said:
Wed, July 15, 2009 - 12:56pm ET"i dont think the patriots will be as good as everyone thinks they will be. i am not just saying that because i am a hater... Jets will win the division... calling it now so save this post.... GO JETS!!!"
uncle joe Said:
Wed, July 15, 2009 - 3:31pm ET"Hey mrbill,we are like the energizer bunny,and this bunny waits for things to fall apart.You make no sense.We Are like the energizer bunny because no matter what the team does,we keep going & going,and you & all the other wannabe fans want to be like NewYork,but you can't & it hurts.There is only ONE NEW YORK!all good things come to an end mrbill,but NY Keeps On Going and Going and Going and ....."
KMG Said:
Wed, July 15, 2009 - 6:36pm ET"mrbill, get a life, ur comment makes no sense and your no fan of any team if u cant go through hard times with your team, now its the patriots turn to go through those times"
supercooljetfan Said:
Wed, July 15, 2009 - 8:29pm ET"mr bill i dont mind you talking little poo,but i do mind you beeing really unfunny."
rickie new york Said:
Wed, July 15, 2009 - 10:11pm ET"The pats def will be good. J. Mayo played very well last yr and recently said he was totally lost but now has a grasp on the playbook - thats scary - he is a good player.I agree if there is a weakness its their secondary I just hope sanchez/clemmons can play well enough to exploit that weakness. Also pass rush will be key- which makes no pace in week 2 very tough for us."
Anonymous Said:
Fri, July 17, 2009 - 7:29pm ET"Wow, with a red zone defense that bad, it's scary the Pats went 11-5. Better hope the new defensive guys are worse than last year because Brady is better than Cassel was."
Mike V Said:
Wed, July 22, 2009 - 2:44pm ET"Thanks for the J.J. Jones update, I remember watching that Charger game (Coy Bacon had a field day) and I remember that J.J. had a cannon. Thanks for the update. Hopefully with TRex in charge the Jets will (finally) get more alumni friendly."
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Ira Said:
Tue, July 14, 2009 - 2:40pm ET"Randy, A+ post. The Pats still are weak in their secondary and thats why they drafted Chung and Butler with 2 of their top 3 picks and also took Brace to be their new DT in another year or so. Picks 1-3 all defensive picks tells the story. But as long as Brady stays healthy they are going to be a tough team to beat. I think the Jets and Rex will be more then ready for the challenge. GO JETS!!!!"
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